PCA Risk Landscape
RO
Rendering PCA landscape...
Figure 1: Principal Component Analysis of Risk Metrics.
Each observation is projected onto two principal components derived from nine risk features
(MRS, SRS, BVI, and six Hopfield detector scores). Points are coloured by risk profile classification
(Q75-per-language activation thresholds). Point radius encodes the number of Hopfield detectors
that flagged the observation as anomalous (0–6). Clusters with high spatial coherence and elevated
Hopfield counts indicate coordinated manipulation signatures that persist across multiple independent
detection channels.
PCA computed via power iteration on the covariance matrix of z-normalised features.
Ranked Observations (Top 50)
| # | Article | Lang | Score | MRS | SRS | BVI | Profile | Hopfield | Detectors |
|---|
Risk Profile Distribution
Cross-Article Editor Network
RO
Shared editors:
Connected articles:
Figure 2: Cross-Article Contributor Network.
Nodes represent Wikipedia articles within the corpus, sized proportionally to their combined risk score
and coloured by risk profile type. Edges connect articles that share at least one common editor among
their top five contributors (as identified through MediaWiki API
usercontribs queries).
Edge colour distinguishes individual editors; thicker edges indicate editors who have been flagged by
Wikipedia Sockpuppet Investigation (SPI) process. Click any node to inspect its connections and shared editors.
Use the search box to find specific articles or editors.
Network constructed from MediaWiki API enrichment data. Isolated nodes (no shared editors) are omitted for clarity.
Cross-Article Editors
| Editor | Articles | Connected To |
|---|
Detector Activation Rates
Anomaly Count Distribution
Anomaly Detection Heatmap (Top 100 Flagged Observations)
RO
Sort by:
Language:
Figure 3: Hopfield Anomaly Detection Matrix.
Each row represents an observation (article x month), and each column represents one of six
binary Hopfield detectors: Temporal, Network, Contributor, Manipulation, Epistemic, and Volatility.
Cells are coloured by detector energy score (darker = higher anomaly energy). The matrix is sorted
by descending total anomaly count, then by combined risk score. Multi-detector convergence
— where 2+ independent detectors flag the same observation — provides substantially higher confidence
than any single detector, as it indicates that anomalous patterns manifest simultaneously across
orthogonal feature spaces. The Hopfield network energy-based formulation ensures that stored
normal patterns act as attractors: observations that settle into high-energy states (far from
any attractor) exhibit behaviour inconsistent with the learned baseline.
Hopfield detectors use the Storkey learning rule with feature-specific thresholds (temporal: 0.3, network: 0.25, account: 0.4).
Engine Profiles by Cluster
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Figure 4: Engine Score Profiles by Risk Cluster.
Each radar chart shows the mean engine scores (Temporal, Network, Contributor, Manipulation,
Cross-Language Synchrony) for observations grouped by their k-means cluster assignment.
Cluster profiles reveal qualitatively distinct manipulation strategies: some clusters exhibit
elevated temporal scores (suggesting coordinated editing bursts), while others show network
or contributor anomalies (suggesting sockpuppet or single-purpose account activity).
The API enrichment layer contributes additional sub-signals to each engine — notably
cross-article editor overlap (Network engine) and single-purpose
account scoring (Contributor engine) — which were previously unavailable from
CSV-derived features.
Radar values are mean engine scores per cluster, scaled to [0, 1]. Cluster assignment via k-means (k=5) on z-normalised feature matrix.
API Enrichment Impact
Governance Asymmetry
Interpretation notes.
The governance asymmetry analysis identifies articles where Wikipedia's protective mechanisms
(semi-protection, extended-confirmed protection, full protection) were applied with substantial
delay relative to the onset of anomalous editing patterns. A governance lag
exceeding 30 days suggests that the article was exposed to sustained manipulation before
administrative intervention. The enrichment layer provides actual protection log timestamps
from the MediaWiki API, replacing the binary proxy used in the CSV-only baseline.
Articles with high manipulation scores and absent governance flags represent the
highest-risk category: active manipulation with no administrative response.
Moldova (MD) — n = 4,240
MD
MD Correlation Structure.
MRS loads moderately onto Network (0.41), Contributor (0.44), and Manipulation (0.39) —
consistent with the behavioural detection overlap identified analytically.
Hopfield inter-detector correlations are low to moderate, supporting relative dimensional independence.
The Behavioural Cluster (Network × Manipulation: 0.86, Contributor × Manipulation: 0.79,
Network × Contributor: 0.71) is the strongest block.
Temporal × Volatility couples at 0.68.
Epistemic correlates weakly and positively with both SRS (0.27) and MRS (0.17),
suggesting mild co-occurrence of sourcing fragility and epistemic anomaly in the Moldovan corpus.
BVI shows no meaningful correlation with any Hopfield dimension (all |r| < 0.07).
Pearson correlations on raw feature values. MD corpus: 4,240 article-month observations.
Romania (RO) — n = 6,230
RO
RO Correlation Structure.
MRS loads strongly onto all behavioural Hopfield dimensions simultaneously:
Contributor (0.75), Manipulation (0.73), Network (0.72), Temporal (0.69), Volatility (0.68).
The behavioural cluster itself tightens to near-ceiling: Network × Manipulation: 0.93,
Contributor × Manipulation: 0.91, Network × Contributor: 0.81.
Temporal × Volatility reaches 0.92 — near-perfect, meaning these are essentially the same signal.
Epistemic flips sign: negatively correlated with Network (−0.26),
Temporal (−0.22), Volatility (−0.19), MRS (−0.16), Manipulation (−0.16).
Positive only with SRS (0.39). Epistemically anomalous articles in RO are behaviourally quiet —
the exact profile of structurally biased articles that attract no acute editing pressure.
SRS shows negative correlations with Temporal (−0.15) and Network (−0.16),
meaning sourcing fragility is counter-cyclical: articles with chronic sourcing problems are quieter
during high-activity periods.
Pearson correlations on raw feature values. RO corpus: 6,230 article-month observations.
Comparative Interpretation: Two Structural Stories.
MD is a corpus where detection dimensions are relatively loosely coupled.
MRS connects moderately to the Hopfield behavioural cluster (0.39–0.44), Epistemic sits isolated but positive,
BVI is invisible to Hopfield. The information warfare pattern is diffuse — manipulation pressure, temporal patterns,
and volatility do not strongly co-occur. Multi-vector risk profiles are proportionally higher than in RO.
RO is a corpus where almost everything in the behavioural space collapses into a single
high-intercorrelation cluster. MRS loads onto Temporal (0.69), Network (0.72), Contributor (0.75),
Manipulation (0.73), and Volatility (0.68) — all simultaneously, all strongly. RO manipulation events are
temporally concentrated, network-coordinated, contributor-concentrated, and volatile all at once.
That is the electoral-period signature — compressed into a tight detection cluster.
The Epistemic Sign Flip is the most structurally significant divergence.
RO: Epistemic correlates negatively with MRS (−0.16), Temporal (−0.22),
Network (−0.26), Manipulation (−0.16), and Volatility (−0.19). Positive only with SRS (0.39).
Epistemically anomalous articles in RO are behaviourally quiet, temporally stable, low-volatility.
The Hopfield detects that epistemic risk and behavioural risk are structurally separated
in the Romanian corpus — they are different populations requiring different interventions.
MD: The sign is positive (0.17): epistemic anomaly and behavioural pressure mildly co-occur,
suggesting a different information warfare topology where sourcing degradation accompanies
rather than opposes manipulation activity.
Key Divergences (|Δ| > 0.4):
Epistemic × Network (Δ = −0.63),
Epistemic × Volatility (Δ = −0.54),
MRS × Temporal (Δ = +0.51),
MRS × Volatility (Δ = +0.49),
Epistemic × Temporal (Δ = −0.46).